The bears tightened their grip as Nifty broke below a crucial support level, closing at 25,149 with a sharp 200+ point drop. This marks a clear rejection from the 25,600 resistance zone and a breakdown below the 21 EMA — the first in over a month.
Our bearish credit spread strategy has played out beautifully, now sitting with over 90% profit. If the index continues its slide into the consolidation zone (24,750–25,200), we plan to book profits and re-deploy a fresh spread as per the setup.
Market Mood Index
56.50
MMI is in the Greed Zone .it suggest that investors are acting greedy in market.
Key Global Indices
As of July 14th at 06:57 AM
| Index/Asset | Country | Value | Change | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ | GIFTNIFTY | India | 25171.00 | -61.00 | (-0.24%) |
| ↓ | DOW FUTURES | USA | 44155.00 | -216.50 | (-0.49%) |
| ↓ | DOW JONES | USA | 44371.52 | -279.13 | (-0.63%) |
| ↓ | NASDAQ | USA | 20583.84 | -46.82 | (-0.23%) |
| ↓ | S&P 500 | USA | 6258.35 | -22.11 | (-0.35%) |
Key Indian Indices
Indian Market Data
| Index/Asset | Country | Value | Change | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ | INDIAVIX | India | 11.8175 | +0.1450 | +1.24% |
| ↓ | SENSEX | India | 82,500.47 | -689.81 | -0.83% |
| ↓ | NIFTY | India | 25,149.85 | -205.40 | -0.81% |
| ↓ | BANKNIFTY | India | 56,754.70 | -201.30 | -0.35% |
NIFTY50 – Pre-Market Analysis (July 14, 2025)
🗓 Nifty Daily Update – July 14, 2025
Major breakdown from support zone! 📉
The index has breached short-term support and closed below the 21 EMA. Our bearish view continues to play out perfectly with over 90% profit already booked on our credit spread. Here’s the full analysis 👇
📊 Market Recap (July 14, 2025)
Nifty ended the session at 25,149.85, falling sharply by -205.40 points (-0.81%). Today’s close is significant as the index slipped below its 21 EMA (25,260) for the first time since early June, confirming short-term weakness.
The fall also marks a re-entry into the previous consolidation zone (24,750–25,200), signaling potential range-bound or corrective price action ahead.
📈 Chart Insights
📅 Daily Chart (1D)
- ✅ Clear breakdown below 21 EMA – first sign of trend shift
- ✅ Rejection from 25,600 and multiple red candles in a row indicate aggressive selling
- ✅ Nifty has now entered the consolidation zone between 24,750–25,200
- ✅ Volume picking up on down days – suggests institutional exit or profit booking
- ✅ Next support zone rests at 24,850–24,750
🔮 Today’s Outlook (July 15, 2025)
The market sentiment has turned decisively bearish.
As long as the index stays below 25,200, upside will likely remain capped.
If price holds below 25,150 for another day, expect retest of 24,850–24,750 levels.
Any bounce should be viewed as a shorting opportunity unless Nifty reclaims 25,350+.
🧠Options Strategy Update – Bearish Credit Spread
🟢 Sell 26,000 CE
🔴 Buy 26,100 CE
✅ Current Status: 90% profit achieved
💰 Plan: If market stays weak and continues within the consolidation zone, we’ll book remaining profit soon
📊 Next Step: Will deploy a fresh credit spread based on market structure and zone reaction
📘 This is for educational purposes only. Not a trade recommendation. Please follow SEBI guidelines.
Smart Money Flows
FII & DII Data (₹ Cr.)
| Date | FII (₹ Cr.) | DII (₹ Cr.) |
|---|---|---|
| 11 JUL | -5,104 | 3,559 |
| 10 JUL | 221 | 591 |
| 09 JUL | 77 | 921 |
| 08 JUL | -26 | 1,367 |
| 07 JUL | 321 | 1,853 |
📌 Wrapping Up
Nifty has decisively broken below its short-term support, signaling a possible shift in trend or at least a pause in the recent rally. With the index re-entering the old consolidation zone, traders should stay cautious and avoid aggressive long positions for now.
✅ Our bearish credit spread has delivered over 90% profit, and we’re closely monitoring the 24,750–25,200 zone for further price action.
📊 If weakness continues, we’ll look to book profits and deploy a fresh spread strategy accordingly.
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