Nifty slipped deeper into the demand zone after repeated rejection near the 25,200 level. Friday’s session saw a sharp sell-off, with price closing near the lower end of the recent range. Volume spiked, and short-term sentiment turned clearly bearish. With 24,750–24,800 now under test, Monday’s session becomes critical for trend validation.
Let’s dive into the full picture 👇
Market Mood Index
31.17
MMI is in the Fear Zone .it suggest that investors are acting Fearful in market.
Key Global Indices
As of 07:55 AM, July 28th
| Index/Asset | Country | Value | Change | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ | GIFTNIFTY | India | 24837.50 | +22.50 | (+0.09%) |
| ↑ | DOW FUTURES | USA | 45065.50 | +163.60 | (+0.36%) |
| ↑ | DOW JONES | USA | 44901.93 | +208.01 | (+0.47%) |
| ↑ | NASDAQ | USA | 21110.47 | +52.51 | (+0.25%) |
| ↑ | S&P 500 | USA | 6389.59 | +26.24 | (+0.41%) |
Key Indian Indices
Indian Market Data
| Index/Asset | Country | Value | Change | Change (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ | INDIAVIX | India | 11.2750 | +0.5525 | +5.15% |
| ↓ | SENSEX | India | 81,463.09 | -721.08 | -0.88% |
| ↓ | NIFTY | India | 24,837.00 | -225.10 | -0.9% |
| ↓ | BANKNIFTY | India | 56,528.90 | -537.15 | -0.94% |
NIFTY50 – Pre-Market Analysis (July 28, 2025)
📊 Market Recap (July 26, 2025 – Friday)
🔻 Nifty closed at 24,837.00, down −225.10 pts (−0.90%)
📉 Sharp rejection from 25,150–25,200 again
📉 Closed below 21 EMA and near 50 EMA zone
🔴 High volume on red candle — confirming supply pressure
🔁 FIIs remained net sellers; weak global sentiment also added to the drag
📈 Chart Insights – Daily (1D)
- 🔴 Bearish engulfing follow-through with volume
- 🟠 Price broke below 25,000 psychological level
- 🟢 Testing green zone (24,750–24,850) — previous demand area
- 📉 21 EMA crossed below 50 EMA = short-term trend weakening
- 📉 Volume increasing on down days, hinting strong supply
🔎 Trend Watch
⚠️ Bias: Mildly Bearish to Range-Bound
🔻 Below 24,750 = trend breakdown
📌 Support: 24,750 / 24,600
📌 Resistance: 25,000 / 25,200
🔮 Monday Outlook – July 28, 2025
⚠️ Expect sideways to weak open
📉 Below 24,750 = strong downside possibility
🧠 Bulls must reclaim 25,000+ on closing basis to reset structure
🎯 Watch for early volatility — price likely to test range extremes
🧠 Option Strategy – Bear Call Spread (New Setup)
Since our Bull Put Spread (from July 23) hit breakeven and price failed to hold 25,000, we shifted to a Bearish Spread setup anticipating more downside or at least resistance near 25,000.
📌 Trade Details:
🔴 Sell 25,000 CE
🟢 Buy 25,200 CE
💰 Net Credit: ~₹40–45
📉 Max Profit: If Nifty stays below 25,000
❌ Max Loss: ₹160–₹170 (capped)
⏳ Expiry: Aug 1, 2025
✅ Bias: Mild bearish
🧘♂️ Risk-defined — good R:R if Nifty stays under resistance
🚫 Exit if price closes above 25,050 on hourly basis
Smart Money Flows
| Date | FII (₹ Cr.) | DII (₹ Cr.) |
|---|---|---|
| 25 JUL | -1,980 | 2,139 |
| 24 JUL | -2,134 | 2,617 |
| 23 JUL | -4,209 | 4,359 |
| 22 JUL | -3,549 | 5,240 |
| 21 JUL | -1,681 | 3,578 |
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